Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps January 25, 2023
While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.
Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.
We look for sharps to be much more active in the NHL and NBA since the MLB is almost over however this is not these are not sports that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games. The NBA sees much more action than the NHL.
For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.
Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.This article's format will change once we have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight. RECAP of yesterday's games: We went 1-1 yesterday but so close to a perfect day. The Flyers lose in overtime.
Surprisingly we don't have much movement in the NBA that is worth covering. The over in Golden State flew and it's absolutely normal but I don't see sharp money behind the move. I also don't have any appetite for writing NBA notes after what we experienced with the Bulls yesterday.
But the NBA gods had to throw it back in my face and have me cover the Pacers tonight. The Pacers are shit without Haliburton and the Bulls were pitiful in the second half letting them get back in the game and ultimately win the game. Nembhard is questionable again tonight making the Magic very appealing to the smart money. Orlando opened at -4 and money came in nonstop overnight pushing the line to -6. How did Orlando only give up 98 points to the Celtics last game? Oh yeah, it's the NBA and anything can happen. Issac is back for Orlanto and this provides more depth. I was preparing to cover the NY Islanders but the smart money is now coming in on Ottawa so we will skip that. We have no other moves in the NHL. To recap: Orlando -6.
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