Statsational NFL Championship Games Power Rankings

John Alesia
John Alesia

Each week, Statsational will go over his NFL Power Rankings to bring you up to speed on the numbers. Are your eyes deceiving you, or are the numbers wrong? Let us know in the Discord chat.


The ratings are based on each team vs. the average team in the league. You can use the rating differential of two teams and add the Home Field Advantage to get an idea of where the model likes the spread for that game. I would use this as a guide, not your final say on a game. We have a lot of models and tools for you to help with your handicapping, and this is one of them.

Key

Power Rating - The higher the number, the better the team ranks. The differential in 2 teams can be compared to a pt spread on a neutral site.

SOS - Strength Of Schedule

Defense Rating - How many expected points are to be given up against an average team

Offense Rating - How many points are expected to be scored against an average team


After Divisional Round
The current HFA is 2.12 I expect it to be 1.75 by year's end.

Rank

Teams

Power Rating

SOS

Defense Rating

Offense Rating

Off Rushing

Off Passing

Def Rushing

W

L

1

Buffalo

31.82

25.84

18.52

24.98

18.28

18.97

11.35

14

4

2

Philadelphia

31.73

24.45

18.97

25.33

25.16

18.62

4.94

15

3

3

San Francisco

31.59

24.55

17.28

23.56

12.74

11.91

38.25

15

4

4

Kansas City

31.32

24.91

20.67

26.49

-1.99

69.45

1.39

15

3

5

Cincinnati

29.99

26.43

20.21

24.56

-14.20

44.65

21.36

14

4

6

Dallas

29.64

25.35

19.68

23.76

7.57

5.92

-2.71

13

6

7

Baltimore

27.64

26.32

18.89

20.89

42.11

-33.58

28.60

10

8

8

Miami

26.96

26.61

21.66

22.98

-24.54

47.12

17.72

9

9

9

Jacksonville

26.61

25.02

21.30

22.34

1.66

15.38

3.89

10

9

10

Cleveland

26.01

26.04

21.60

22.04

30.16

-2.01

-18.94

7

10

11

Washington

25.92

25.62

18.23

18.72

-2.25

-13.83

20.94

8

8

12

New England

25.85

25.92

19.34

19.61

-12.91

-12.30

15.08

8

9

13

Detroit

25.82

25.64

23.79

24.18

0.46

35.11

-19.32

9

8

14

NY Jets

25.76

26.40

17.68

17.87

-19.07

-3.22

0.80

7

10

15

LA Chargers

25.59

24.94

21.75

21.70

-29.15

41.91

-24.99

10

8

16

New Orleans

25.57

25.35

19.39

19.38

-2.14

-5.88

-7.27

7

10

17

Green Bay

25.24

25.42

20.47

20.13

0.18

-10.34

-16.32

8

9

18

Pittsburgh

25.16

26.54

19.05

18.63

6.17

-29.98

15.97

9

8

19

Tampa Bay

24.91

26.00

20.33

19.74

-44.94

57.36

7.16

8

10

20

Seattle

24.69

25.56

23.24

22.43

2.09

11.17

-33.53

9

9

21

NY Giants

24.32

25.79

21.38

20.14

20.95

-30.13

-17.08

10

8

22

LasVegas

24.07

25.05

23.52

22.02

2.29

13.61

-11.07

6

11

23

Minnesota

23.80

25.44

24.21

22.65

-34.72

53.24

5.62

13

5

24

Denver

23.31

25.13

19.82

17.55

-5.95

-12.90

5.33

5

12

25

Atlanta

22.84

25.18

22.85

20.26

38.22

-54.33

-10.89

7

10

26

Carolina

22.81

25.28

21.82

19.20

8.17

-40.63

0.01

7

10

27

Tennessee

22.23

25.58

20.58

17.23

-1.65

-41.38

40.62

7

10

28

Arizona

22.11

25.86

23.02

19.55

-9.46

-5.59

-1.36

4

13

29

LA Rams

22.04

26.14

20.52

17.14

-23.38

-33.39

5.57

5

12

30

Indianapolis

20.42

25.07

22.53

17.38

-10.89

-21.51

-6.52

4

12

31

Chicago

20.00

26.24

23.76

18.33

51.43

-88.21

-35.16

3

14

32

Houston

18.28

25.22

23.63

16.34

-31.81

-24.93

-44.39

3

13


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