Anthony P's NBA Model November 22, 2022

Anthony P
As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.
Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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The Grizzlies have injury issues coming into this game however still show value even without Morant. Jackson Jr is probable while Williams Jr joins Morant on the sidelines. The Kings have a better net rating however that is mostly due to a weaker SOS where they are 30th while Memphis has had the 7th toughest schedule. We can't take anything away from the Kings lately. They're offense is rolling scoring on average 131 pts per game, and have an ATS margin of 10 points during their 6 game winning streak. Memphis lost 3 of their last 4 and as mentioned, they are not healthy. There is way too much momentum behind the Kings right now to ignore and I don't It's time to buy low on Memphis due to their injuries.

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