Anthony P's NBA Model December 8, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 8, 2022

We have some value in the Spurs however would you want to bet on a team in which we can't remember the last time they won a game and are 1-9 ATS the last 10 games? The Rockets have some great young talent and just beat the 76ers and Suns in their last 3 games. Both teams have similar aDRTG but we can trust the Rockets to dominate the boards. The Rockets have also faced tougher opponents this season based on their SoS rating and coming into SA who are allowing the highest shooting % and points against we should have enough of an edge to win and cover.

The AI is finding value in the Clippers, Spurs, and Portland tonight.

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