Anthony P's NBA Model December 13, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 13, 2022

Scoring was crazy in the second and third quarter in Dallas last night and it cost us out under.

The AI went 2-1 with the plays posted in the article with the Spurs and Clippers covering while the Timberwolves took a beating in Portland.

My model is very strong on the Jazz and the AI is even stronger on them. The line is at +2 while my model has the Jazz at -4 and the AI at -9.5. The problem is I don't think I agree with the way the Pelicans have been playing. They just took care of business beating the Suns in back-to-back games and now have the task to travel to Utah and continue their dominance. The Pels have completely been destroying their opponents with an average ATS margin of + 10 in their last 6 games. Looking at all metrics the Jazz can have an advantage in rebounding however the Pelicans also do well on both ends and ranks 10th in defensive rebounds. My lean is on the Pels.

The Model also likes a couple of unders. How do you feel betting on the under in the NBA?

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