Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Gaurdians Matchup Preview - October 8th, 2022

Editor

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

  • The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the best of all teams on the slate today.

  • Taylor Walls's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.5-mph figure last season has dropped off to 86-mph.

  • Manuel Margot hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (44% — 100th percentile) and faces MLB's 7th-deepest CF fences today.

Cleveland Gaurdians Insights

  • Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Triston McKenzie (42% FB% per The Sharp Model projections) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Tampa Bay's projected offense.

  • Jose Ramirez is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#1-best on the slate today).

  • Projected catcher Austin Hedges grades out as an elite pitch framer, via The Sharp Model projection system.

Betting Trends

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 86 of their last 145 games (+24.75 Units / 13% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI)

  • Austin Hedges has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.65 Units / 54% ROI)