Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Matchup Preview - August 17th, 2022


The Rays are scheduled to start Corey Kluber (7-7, 4.40 ERA) against Yankees starting pitcher Domingo German (1-2, 4.18 ERA) on Wednesday. Corey Kluber suffered a loss in his last outing, as the Rays lost to the Orioles 3-10. He pitched 5.2 innings allowing 7 earned runs with 10 hits. He also recorded 4 strikeouts with 1 walk. The last time Domingo German took the mound, the Yankees got beat by the Red Sox 2-3. He finished with 6 IP, 4 K, 2 BB, while allowing 1 earned run on 5 hits. Today, Kluber projects for 5.15 innings pitched with 2.7 ER, 5.2 hits, 4.3 strikeouts, and 1.7 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, THE BAT projects German's average outcome to be 5.66 IP, 2.4 ER, 4.9 H, 5.2 strikeouts, and 1.6 walks.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

  • Corey Kluber's fastball velocity has fallen 2 mph this season (88.2 mph) below where it was last season (90.2 mph).

  • Brandon Lowe is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of New York (#1-best of all teams on the slate).

  • Tampa Bay's 89-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season is one of the best in the game: #10 overall.

New York Yankees Insights

  • Domingo German has been given less leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 6.7 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

  • DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 68% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 60 games (+5.95 Units / 9% ROI)

  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 78% ROI)