San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Matchup Preview - October 5th, 2022


The San Francisco Giants enter the game as the 22nd ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 27th ranked Padres at Petco Park. The Giants may need to kick their hitting into gear to maximize their win chances today, as they rank just 23rd in MLB in batting average this year. When the Padres have found success this year, it's been through their bullpen, which ranks 7th in baseball according to The Sharp Model.

San Francisco Giants Insights

  • The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst on the slate.

  • J.D. Davis has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

  • The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with an underlying K% over 30%, according to The Sharp Model X (Joey Bart, David Villar, J.D. Davis).

San Diego Padres Insights

  • The Sharp Model X expects Craig Stammen to have a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 67 pitches.

  • Manny Machado has been hot of late, cracking 3 home runs in the last two weeks' worth of games.

  • The San Diego Padres bullpen grades out as the 7th-best in MLB, via The Sharp Model.

Betting Trends

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+6.35 Units / 20% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)

  • Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)