San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins Matchup Preview - August 16th, 2022


The San Diego Padres enter the game as the 11th ranked team per THE BAT X's Power Rankings and will battle the 24th ranked Marlins at LoanDepot Park. The Padres may need to kick their power into gear to maximize their win chances today, as they rank just 22nd in MLB in home runs this year. When the Marlins have found success this year, it's been through their speed. They rank 1st in baseball in stolen bases.

San Diego Padres Insights

  • The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-best on the slate.

  • Josh Bell has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

  • The San Diego Padres have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to THE BAT X, and are likely to positively regress going forward

Miami Marlins Insights

  • Edward Cabrera has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 4.7 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.

  • Joey Wendle's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 88.6-mph EV last year has decreased to 86.6-mph.

  • The Miami Marlins bullpen projects as the 10th-worst in the majors, according to THE BAT.

Betting Trends

  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games (+11.05 Units / 17% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 83 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.50 Units / 56% ROI)