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New York Yankees vs Cleveland Gaurdians Matchup Preview - October 16th, 2022


Harrison Bader and the Yankees go head-to-head against Steven Kwan and the Guardians today. Over the last 7 days, Harrison Bader has provided the bulk of the offense for Yankees. He's batted .273 with 3 runs, 2 RBIs, and 2 home runs. Meanwhile, it's been Steven Kwan who has been hot for the Guardians. Over the last week, he's batting .429 with 3 runs, 2 RBIs, and 1 home runs.

New York Yankees Insights

  • Gerrit Cole has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 11.5 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

  • Giancarlo Stanton has a ton of pop (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill is a pitch-to-contact type (19th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.

  • Matt Carpenter has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.7% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Cleveland Gaurdians Insights

  • Cal Quantrill has added a cut-fastball to his arsenal this year and has mixed it in 36.1% of the time.

  • The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bo Naylor can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

  • Projected catcher Austin Hedges profiles as an elite pitch framer, per The Sharp Model projection system.

Betting Trends

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 78 of their last 127 games (+25.95 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.10 Units / 23% ROI)

  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.85 Units / 41% ROI)


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