New York Yankees vs Cleveland Gaurdians Matchup Preview - October 16th, 2022

Editor
Harrison Bader and the Yankees go head-to-head against Steven Kwan and the Guardians today. Over the last 7 days, Harrison Bader has provided the bulk of the offense for Yankees. He's batted .273 with 3 runs, 2 RBIs, and 2 home runs. Meanwhile, it's been Steven Kwan who has been hot for the Guardians. Over the last week, he's batting .429 with 3 runs, 2 RBIs, and 1 home runs.
New York Yankees Insights
Gerrit Cole has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 11.5 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.
Giancarlo Stanton has a ton of pop (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill is a pitch-to-contact type (19th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.
Matt Carpenter has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.7% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Cleveland Gaurdians Insights
Cal Quantrill has added a cut-fastball to his arsenal this year and has mixed it in 36.1% of the time.
The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bo Naylor can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Projected catcher Austin Hedges profiles as an elite pitch framer, per The Sharp Model projection system.
Betting Trends
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 78 of their last 127 games (+25.95 Units / 16% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.10 Units / 23% ROI)
DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+8.85 Units / 41% ROI)
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