New York Yankees vs Cleveland Gaurdians Matchup Preview - October 15th, 2022


Luis Severino (25th ranked SP via The Sharp Model) is projected to take the mound for Yankees as they battle the Guardians and Triston McKenzie (71st ranked SP) at Progressive Field. The quick scouting report on Severino: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 48.6% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a changeup (22.3%). Meanwhile, McKenzie primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (55.7%) and his most-used secondary offering is his curveball (22.2%). The Sharp Model X projects Severino for 1.9 earned runs and 4.7 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, McKenzie is forecasted for 2.1 earned runs and 5.4 strikeouts.

New York Yankees Insights

  • Luis Severino has been lucky with his ERA this year; his 3.18 rate is quite a bit lower than his 3.79 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

  • The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

  • Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka grades out as an elite pitch framer, via The Sharp Model projection system.

Cleveland Gaurdians Insights

  • The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the best of the day.

  • Jose Ramirez is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of New York (#1-best on the slate).

  • The Cleveland Guardians bullpen grades out as the 9th-best in the league, via The Sharp Model.

Betting Trends

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 127 games (+23.95 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 away games (+9.15 Units / 31% ROI)

  • Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 31 games at home (+17.10 Units / 30% ROI)