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Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays Matchup Preview - September 19th, 2022


Yordan Alvarez and the Astros go head-to-head against Isaac Paredes and the Rays today. Over the last 7 days, Yordan Alvarez has provided the bulk of the offense for Astros. He's batted .520 with 10 runs, 10 RBIs, and 5 home runs. Meanwhile, it's been Isaac Paredes who has been hot for the Rays. Over the last week, he's batting .375 with 3 runs, 4 RBIs, and 1 home runs.

Houston Astros Insights

  • Luis Garcia has relied on his cut-fastball 7.2% more often this season (29.5%) than he did last season (22.3%).

  • Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#2-best of all teams on the slate).

  • Chas McCormick has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

  • Drew Rasmussen's fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this year (94.8 mph) below where it was last year (95.8 mph).

  • Ji-Man Choi has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

  • The Tampa Bay Rays (20.1 K%, according to THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today.

Betting Trends

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 56 games at home (+8.20 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 36 away games (+14.90 Units / 35% ROI)

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)


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