Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Indians Matchup Preview - August 16th, 2022
Editor
The Detroit Tigers (45-74) will battle the Cleveland Guardians (62-55) on Tuesday night. Oddsmakers peg the Guardians as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 66%, leaving the Tigers with a 34% chance to record a win. Based on the current odds the Tigers have an implied team total of 3.27 compared to 4.73 for the Guardians.
Detroit Tigers Insights
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Garrett Hill has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 56.3% of the time, ranking in the 79th percentile.
Victor Reyes is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#2-best on the slate today).
Miguel Cabrera has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Cleveland Indians Insights
Zach Plesac’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2197 rpm) has been significantly better than than his seasonal rate (2147 rpm).
Myles Straw has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.
Projected catcher Austin Hedges grades out as an elite pitch framer, via THE BAT projection system.
Betting Trends
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 93 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 97 games (+17.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Triston McKenzie has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 48% ROI)
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