Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins Matchup Preview - August 2nd, 2022
Tuesday evening the Cincinnati Reds battle against the Miami Marlins at LoanDepot Park. The Reds offense will be led by Brandon Drury, who ranks as the #81st-best hitter in baseball according to THE BAT X. Given Brandon Drury's profile and today's matchup specifics, THE BAT X expects him to average a .295 wOBA, .215 AVG, and .12 HRs. On the other side, Jazz Chisholm (THE BAT X's #136th hitter in MLB) will bolster the Marlins lineup. He projects for a .297 wOBA, .257 AVG, and .09 HRs.
Cincinnati Reds Insights
Graham Ashcraft has a reverse platoon split and is stuck facing 6 same-handed batters in this matchup.
THE BAT X projects Michael Papierski in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Jonathan India has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today.
Miami Marlins Insights
Braxton Garrett's fastball spin rate has increased 144 rpm this year (2328 rpm) over where it was last season (2184 rpm).
Miguel Rojas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
The Miami Marlins projected lineup profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.
Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 37 games at home (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 83 games (+9.90 Units / 11% ROI)
Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 57 games (+14.70 Units / 24% ROI)