Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins Matchup Preview - August 2nd, 2022


Tuesday evening the Cincinnati Reds battle against the Miami Marlins at LoanDepot Park. The Reds offense will be led by Brandon Drury, who ranks as the #81st-best hitter in baseball according to THE BAT X. Given Brandon Drury's profile and today's matchup specifics, THE BAT X expects him to average a .295 wOBA, .215 AVG, and .12 HRs. On the other side, Jazz Chisholm (THE BAT X's #136th hitter in MLB) will bolster the Marlins lineup. He projects for a .297 wOBA, .257 AVG, and .09 HRs.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

  • Graham Ashcraft has a reverse platoon split and is stuck facing 6 same-handed batters in this matchup.

  • THE BAT X projects Michael Papierski in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

  • Jonathan India has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Miami Marlins Insights

  • Braxton Garrett's fastball spin rate has increased 144 rpm this year (2328 rpm) over where it was last season (2184 rpm).

  • Miguel Rojas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

  • The Miami Marlins projected lineup profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Betting Trends

  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 37 games at home (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 83 games (+9.90 Units / 11% ROI)

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 57 games (+14.70 Units / 24% ROI)