Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals Matchup Preview - August 3rd, 2022


Chicago Cubs Insights

  • Justin Steele's 2465 rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 96th percentile among starters.

  • Frank Schwindel has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

  • Projected catcher Willson Contreras profiles as a weak pitch framer, via THE BAT projection system.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

  • Miles Mikolas has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 8.1 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.

  • The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

  • The St. Louis Cardinals bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best in the game, via THE BAT.

Betting Trends

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.45 Units / 29% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)

  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+13.05 Units / 63% ROI)