Boston Red Sox @ Cincinnati Reds Matchup Preview - September 20th, 2022


The Boston Red Sox enter the game as the 26th ranked team per THE BAT X's Power Rankings and will battle the 24th ranked Reds at Great American Ball Park. The Red Sox rank 4th in MLB in batting average and will likely lean on that hitting in their attempt to win today. If the Reds want to win they'll have to overcome their bullpen issues, which ranks 27th in MLB according to THE BAT.

Boston Red Sox Insights

  • Brayan Bello's 95.5 mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 93rd percentile among SPs.

  • Kike Hernandez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

  • The Boston Red Sox have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to THE BAT X, and are likely to positively regress going forward

Cincinnati Reds Insights

  • Nick Lodolo has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 5.5 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.

  • The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so T.J. Friedl stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

  • The Cincinnati Reds bullpen projects as the 4th-worst in the game, via THE BAT.

Betting Trends

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.10 Units / 82% ROI)

  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 32 away games (+7.65 Units / 21% ROI)

  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)