NFL is the most-bet, most-modeled, and most-efficient market in American sports — the hardest league to find raw mispricing in, and the easiest one to leak money in by being sloppy about numbers and timing. This session is the operating manual: what the key numbers are worth in EV, when in the week each edge appears, and why spread, total, props, and live are four separate workflows that happen to share a scoreboard.
What this session covers
Three things, in order. The key-number structure of NFL scoring and the arithmetic that makes a half point around 3 worth several times what a half point elsewhere is worth. The weekly rhythm of the market, from Sunday-night openers through Sunday-morning inactives. Then the four workflows, each with its own timing and its own failure mode.
