Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps July 31 2022

2 years ago

Anthony P

While most of us are sleeping, Market Makers and Sharps are adjusting the markets so that by the time we wake up and are ready to bet, the markets have adjusted in favour of the sportsbook. Let's take a quick look at some games where the sportsbooks had to make some adjustments based on heavy sharp interest.

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: We skipped Saturday since I was away with the family but we are back on track for the Sunday edition of the Overnight Grind. On Friday, the sharps, model, and I liked the Twins but they got destroyed 10-1

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

For Sunday, the sharps jumped early on CINCINNATI UNDER 9.5 -111, CINCINNATI -113, and TORONTO UNDER 9 -111. None of these games show value on the MLB model.

UPDATE:

We have seen lots of movement overnight and this morning. The sharps and model agree on the NY Mets over 7. Lopez and Walker are squaring off at 1:40 pm EST in Miami. The Marlins started scoring again however they will face a hot Mets team that won 5 straight and they are a huge square play today. Hence why I like the Marlins. Both pitchers have been going well in their last 5 starts except for 1 start for Lopez where he gave up 5 runs. I personally don't agree with the over however both pitchers are due for some regression based on their SIERA's.

Good luck today

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