Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Preview - January 21st, 2023
Saturday the Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8) will battle the Kansas City Chiefs (14-3). Oddsmakers peg the Chiefs as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 81%, leaving the Jaguars with a 19% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Chiefs -9.5 with a Game Total of 52.0.
Jacksonville Jaguars Insights
The forecast calls for light rain in this game... which usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Evan Engram has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (24.0 per game).
The Sharp Model projects Travis Etienne to rush for 0.55 TDs in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Kansas City Chiefs Insights
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has not been good when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.39 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the NFL.
The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Team Total Under in their last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored last in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 49% ROI)
Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)