Anthony P's NBA Model January 23, 2023

Anthony P
Anthony P
We will add new sports and models as we continue to build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.
Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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The model liked the Clippers and Raptors yesterday. I was ok with the Clippers but couldn't support the Raptors. The model was right on both.

Tonight the model is pointing us toward the Bulls. It's so hard to figure out this Hawks team! Actually, it's so hard to figure out the NBA FFS. Portland was up 25 at the half yesterday just to collapse and lose outright by 9! Like how the @#(%@% can this happen?

My model has the Bulls at -3 with Dragic in the lineup, however, he is questionable for tonight's game. Even if I remove him I don't see a big difference in the projection. The Bulls looked great vs the Warriors and even better in Paris with DeRozan's return. I strongly believe the Hawks will have a hard time containing the Bulls in the paint and outside. The Bulls are 5th in FG% and 7th in 3PT% while the Hawks are bottom 10 in defending both categories. Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago and I expect a hard-fought game tonight in which Chicago will continue with their momentum and win. Trust the model!!!!

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