Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins Matchup Preview - August 4th, 2022


Alek Manoah (27th ranked SP via THE BAT) is projected to take the mound for Blue Jays as they battle the Twins and Sonny Gray (32nd ranked SP) at Target Field. The quick scouting report on Manoah: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 37.0% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a slider (27.9%). Meanwhile, Gray primarily throws a sinker (29.3%) and his most-used secondary offering is his curveball (24.0%). THE BAT X projects Manoah for 2.6 earned runs and 5.1 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Gray is forecasted for 2.4 earned runs and 4.4 strikeouts.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

  • Alek Manoah has averaged 18.9 outs per game per started this year, grading out in the 96th percentile.

  • The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Raimel Tapia has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Minnesota Twins Insights

  • Sonny Gray has a reverse platoon split and is stuck facing 8 same-handed hitters today.

  • Jorge Polanco is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#2-worst of all teams today).

  • Byron Buxton has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 104 games (+7.40 Units / 6% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+13.60 Units / 16% ROI)

  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)