The Sharp Report for January 27, 2023

This article will be updated throughout the day as I get updates from the sportsbook that I have access to.
 
Each section will be explained below, and the time will be added each time the Sharp Report is updated. You can use this information to make your own picks or tail the hot sections. Historically, Sharp bets, Whale plays, Model plays, and square have done very well. Keep in mind that this information comes from a sharp / market maker sportsbook, and the squares (public) playing there are more experienced than regular joe's betting on retail books; therefore, you can find success in tailing the public. 

You can find the Sharp Report performance tracker Here

Last update: 4:25 PM (EST) IN PROGRESS 

Holy shit what a crazy night! No, I'm not talking about my picks, they sucked going 3-5 for the night.

I'm talking about the sharp money plays and fading the squares!

Sharp money when on a run in Jan and then slowed down, and now back at it again. 10-1 yesterday, 37-16 the last 4 days.

The Squares are at -11 units for January however in the NHL they are 39-18 +7.71 units while the data shows us that on average they will lose about 1.5 units per month there we are waiting for regression to hit hard. Last night's regression hit on everything. 12-3 if you fade the squares as recommended. 3-1 in the NHL.

It wasn't a good night for the book faders, 2-6. The best model plays went 0-1 however the Whale continues his strong January hitting the over in Oregon for 45 g's. He's 45-35 +271 g's in Jan.

Perfect-size slates in all sports tonight! Let's make some fucking money!!!

Sharp money plays:

These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, there is sharp money on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.

NBA:
MINNESOTA +4.5
TORONTO UNDER 236.5
CLEVELAND UNDER 225

NHL:
DALLAS -129
LA KINGS +135

CBB:
ROBERT MORRIS -1.5
ST LOUIS -1
BUFFALO +12
NEW MEXICO -12


NFL:
PHILADELPHIA -1.5

Sportsbook liabilities:

Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will be cheering for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.


NBA:
INDIANA +8
TORONTO +5

NHL:
NEW JERSEY +138
CALGARY +105

CBB:
DETROIT +2.5
YOUNGSTOWN STATE -9
RIDER -2.5

NFL:
KANSAS CITY -1

Square top positions:

This section will find picks that the public is heavy on. Even though they can have their hot streaks, It is a strategy to bet against the public most of the time. This section is updated around 4 pm also, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the day.


NBA:
MEMPHIS -4
GOLDEN STATE -6
CLEVELAND OVER 222.5

NHL:
SEATTLE -115
NY RANGERS -154

CBB:
ST LOUIS -1.5
RIDER OVER 129.5

NFL:
PHILADELPHIA -2.5
CINCINNATI +1

Whale plays: 

The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected.


NHL, MLB, NFL, CFB
AIR FORCE +13 15U

The top model plays:

This section covers all the highest EV plays from my NHL, NBA, and MLB models.

NHL, MLB, NFL, CFB
OKC -1
INDIANA +8.5


GOOD LUCK TODAY

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