The Sharp Report for December 5, 2023
The Sharp report is a very easy tool to follow. All the sections are described below. The strategy is simple. Follow the sharp money, fade the book, and square plays. Click here for the tracker. All the plays are graded and tracked daily.
Yesterdays recap:
We had a lot riding on the under in Indiana yesterday and it was a stressful one. I dropped the hammer on the under 241 hoping that Haliburton wasn't playing but looking at the total climbing at 247.5 It was clear that he was going to play. The total closing at 244 was a clear indication that the sharps hit the under 247.5 and it made me feel a little better. That play cashed. I also hit my 2 props with Emgram and Mixon hitting their receiving yards props. Unfortunately, we couldn't go perfect for the night and lost the over in Winnipeg. I also hit my lottery SGP in the NFL for a sweet 2k. For those that have been following me for a while, I hate parlays but I am learning to find value when the books give me boosts on SGP. The parlay was a mixed selection of top props and my own. Sharps lost -1.04 and had a bad beat in the Oregon State game. They had the under 132 and the game finished at 133. The books went 4-1 while the squares after a 7-3 night went 2-4. The best model play of the day was Montreal at +139 and that was an ez win. The Whale was 3-2 for +35k and is now 9-5 +145k for the month. There were no mega sharp plays yesterday.
Last update: 2:45 PM (EST)
Sharp money plays:
+90.44 UNITS SINCE JAN 2020These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.NHL:CAROLINA +100 12/6 NBA:CBB:VILLANOVA -1.5 CHARLOTTE -8.5 UTAH VALLEY +3 ILLINOIS UNDER 147 LIBERTY UNDER 128.5 MISSOURI STATE OVER 132 GRAND CANYON UNDER 143.5 BOISE UNDER 126 UCONN UNDER 153CFB: NAVY UNDER 31.5 NEW MEXICO STATE -1.5 OHIO UNDER 53.5 UTSA -8.5 SOUTH ALABAMA -14.5 FLORIDA STATE +14 MARSHALL UNDER 55.5 AIR FORCE UNDER 42.5 KANSAS OVER 62.5 MISSISSIPPI OVER 47.5 FLORIDA STATE UNDER 46.5 WASHINGTON UNDER 65NFL:TAMPA +3 MINNESOTA -2.5 NY JETS UNDER 36.5 SEATTLE OVER 45.5MEGA SHARP:NAVY UNDER 31.5 NEW MEXICO STATE -1.5 OHIO UNDER 53.5 FLORIDA STATE +14
Sportsbook liabilities:
-247 UNITS SINCE JAN 2020Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.NHL:BUFFALO +105NBA:MILWAUKEE -4.5 LA LAKERS -1.5 CBB:WISCONSIN +5.5 CORNELL +5.5 GEORGIA TECH +5.5 CFB:NAVY 12/9 LOUISANA -1.5 12/16 OHIO STATE -6.5 12/29 MICHIGAN -1.5 1/1 IOWA +7.5 1/1 OREGON -14.5 1/1 NFL: PITTSBURGH -6 12/7 PHILADELPHIA +3 12/10 NY JETS +6 NEW ORLEANS -5.5 DETROIT -4
Square top positions:
-182.77 UNITS SINCE JAN 2022It is a strategy to bet against the public and these regular joes are pretty good to fade. In this section, you will find picks on which the public is heavy. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the day.NHL:NEW JERSEY -106 DETROIT -128 NBA:NY KNICKS +5CBB:SYRACUSE -5.5 GEORGIA -5.5 DREXEL +8.5 NORTHERN ILLINOIS +7.5 GEORGIA -5.5CFB:ARMY -2.5 12/9 JACKSONVILLE STATE -2 12/16 NFL:BALTIMORE -7 CAROLINA +5.5 TAMPA +2.5 INDIANAPOLIS -2.5
Whale plays:
478K SINCE JAN 2022The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected. TENNESSEE OVER 135 35U VANCOUVER -108 30U IDAHO -4 30U OKLAHOMA STATE -1 25U
Model plays:
-14.58 UNITS SINCE JAN 2022Hand-picked best EV bets from Anthony P's betting models
GOOD LUCK TODAY Join Discord and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games