PGA Sanderson Farms Championship Best Bets Plus Top 20 Model Picks For DFS

Welcome to the 2023 Sanderson Farms PGA Championship. The PGA Tour is back in full swing, and this year's Sanderson Farms Championship promises to be nothing short of spectacular.

Get ready for a high-stakes showdown at the Country Club of Jackson as some of the most formidable golfers on the planet descend upon the course. Notably, five players who secured top-50 finishes in the FedEx Cup standings are slated to compete. Leading the pack is the defending champion, Mackenzie Hughes, who leads the way in the fall rankings.

Hughes, who felt overlooked after missing the 2022 Presidents Cup team, channeled that disappointment into a triumphant performance in Jackson, clinching victory in a dramatic playoff against Sepp Straka. Currently positioned at 51st in the FedEx Cup standings, Hughes is well on track to secure a spot in the prestigious first two signature events of 2024. But there's more at stake than just tournament qualifications, as winning the FedEx Cup Fall also guarantees exemptions for major championships - a tantalizing prospect for players like Adam Svensson, Eric Cole, Tom Hoge, and the promising Ludvig Aberg, all already confirmed for next year's signature events.

Speaking of Aberg, he's undoubtedly the biggest name in the tournament lineup. Fresh from an impressive 2-point performance at the 2023 Ryder Cup and a victory on the DP World Tour, the 23-year-old phenom is eager to extend his success to the PGA Tour. Although he currently sits at 136th in the FedEx Cup standings, Aberg boasts full status for the 2024 season through the PGA Tour U. However, there's still a compelling reason for him to compete this week.

Aberg finds himself on the outside looking in for the PGA Tour's flagship event, the Players Championship, which grants entry to the top 125 players in the FedEx Cup. Additionally, the world No. 80 has yet to secure his invitation to the prestigious Masters. To remedy this, Aberg must either clinch a victory or ascend within the top 50 of the Official World Golf Rankings by year's end, offering a potential journey to Augusta National in April.

Intrigue, drama, and intense competition await at the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship, where top players vie for coveted spots in signature events and major championships. Sports bettors, get ready to place your bets and follow the action closely, as this tournament could be a game-changer for both the players and those looking to wager on the thrilling world of professional golf. Don't miss a moment of the excitement as we delve into the Sanderson Farms PGA event for sports betting enthusiasts.

The model breakdown for this course is as follows
Driving Distance 33%
Putting 17%
Driving Accuracy 13%
Around The Green 13%
Approach 23%

Since the model was updated before the PGA Championships, it has returned a 51.9% ROI.

Date

Tournament

Total Risk Units

Total Return Units

18-May

PGA Championship

0.193

-0.193

25-May

Schwab

0.245

-0.245

1-Jun

The Memorial

0.401

0.655

8-Jun

RBC Canadian Open

0.461

-0.461

15-Jun

US Open

0.381

0.702

22-Jun

Travelers

0.313

-0.313

29-Jun

Rocket Mortgage

0.57

0.501

13-Jul

Scottish Open

0.32

0.791

20-Jul

The Open

0.546

-0.546

27-Jul

Twin Cities

0.496

-0.496

3-Aug

Wyndham

0.381

0.632

10-Aug

St Jude

0.258

0.753

17-Aug

BMW

0.312

0.751

4.877

2.531

ROI

51.90%



The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.


To Win

Golfer

Odds

Book

Units Risked

Peter Kuest

7000

Fanduel

0.014

Callum Tarren

5000

Fanduel

0.020

Ludvig Aberg

1200

BetMGM

0.083

MJ Daffue

7000

Fanduel

0.014

Stephan Jaegar

2000

BetMGM

0.050

Luke List

5000

All Books

0.020

Davis Thompson

4500

All Books

0.022

Alex Noren

6000

Fanduel

0.017

Total

0.241


Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.

1. Peter Kuest
2. Callum Tarren
3. Ludvig Aberg
4. MJ Daffue
5. Stephan Jaeger
6. Nick Hardy
7. Kevin Yu
8. Luke List
9. Kevin Roy
10. Davis Thompson
11. Kevin Streelman
12. Garrick Higgo
13. Doug Ghim
14. Cameron Champ
15. Mark Hubbard
16. Alex Smalley
17. Alex Noren
18. Adam Svensson
19. Charley Hoffman
20. Seonghyeon Kim