PGA 3m Open Twin Cities Futures Bets

This week, the PGA TOUR has the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities for the fifth time.

TPC Twin Cities is a 7,431-yard par 71 golf course designed by Arnold Palmer. It's quite flat and has bentgrass greens. While the fairways are easier to hit than the TOUR average, there are water hazards on 13 of the 18 holes, which players must be careful about.

A total of 156 golfers will be participating in the 3M Open, and after the first two rounds, the top 65 players and ties will continue to play over the weekend. Some notable golfers in the tournament include Jason Day, Tony Finau, Sungjae Im, Cameron Young, Ludvig Aberg, Sepp Straka, Hideki Matsuyama, and Justin Thomas.

The model breakdown for this course is as follows
Driving Distance 25%
Putting 14%
Driving Accuracy 21%
Around The Green 14%
Approach 25%

We can find some good prices at these smaller events. Because of that I am making a lot of picks. We will be risking 0.5 units in all. I hope to hit at least one bet to make it a nice weekend.

The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.

To Win

Golfer	Odds	Book	Units Risked
Hideki Matsuyama	1800	Draftkings	0.056
Vincent Norrman	6600	Pointsbet	0.015
Mark Hubbard	6600	Pointsbet	0.015
Doug Ghim	8000	BetMGM	0.013
Lucas Glover	5000	Fanduel	0.020
Emiliano Grillo	2800	Fanduel	0.036
Sepp Straka	2200	Fanduel	0.045
Aaron Rai	5500	Fanduel	0.018
Austin Eckroat	5500	BetMGM	0.018
Eric Cole	5000	Fanduel	0.020
		Total	0.256

Top 5

Golfer	Odds	Book	Units Risked
Peter Kuest	2000	Draftkings	0.050
		Total	0.05

Top 10

Golfer	Odds	Book	Units Risked
Nate Lashley	1000	Fanduel	0.10
		Total	0.10

Top 20

Golfer	Odds	Book	Units Risked
Trevor Cone	1100	Fanduel	0.09
		Total	0.09

Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.

1. Hideki Matsuyama
2. Vincent Norrman
3. Nate Lashley
4. Mark Hubbard
5. Doug Ghim
6. Lucas Glover
7. Emiliano Grillo
8. Sepp Straka
9. Peter Kuest
10. Aaron Rai
11. Austin Eckroat
12. Eric Cole
13. Adam Hadwin
14. Gary Woodland
15. Ludvig Aberg
16. Cameron Champ
17. Michael Kim
18. Chez Reavie
19. Trevor Cone
20. Dylan Wu