Anthony P's NHL Model January 27, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we continue to build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NHL BETTING MODEL FOR JAN 27, 2023

So close the Habs last night!! They deserved better. Allen ended up making some big saves and he deserved better.

I will be back before 2 pm with notes for tonight's games.

UPDATE:

8 games tonight and little value available. We saw the squares cool down last night in the sharp report. Big favorites have been winning at a high rate but we've seen some crazy big-ass underdogs winning the last 2-3 nights. Yesterday it was in Anaheim +330 in Colorado and Chicago +320 in Calgary. The night before Columbus was +360 in Edmonton and won 3-2. Nuts!!!

The markets have been quiet overnight and this morning. The Islanders moved from -160 to -174. The Wings played last night and needed OT to beat the Habs. Ottawa received some love when the Leafs communicated that Matthews will be out for 2-3 weeks. Send moved from +210 to +175.

I wrote about the Starts in the overnight grind and money hasn't stopped coming in on them. The line is now close to -160 from the -125 opening. The way Dallas's offense has been playing and with Vanecek in nets for Jersey, the Devils might be a decent value play tonight.

The Rangers seem a little high at -150 but the number is right if Thompson plays tomorrow instead of tonight.

The Canucks are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and are facing the Bluejackets who just beat the Oilers on the road. -175 seems a little high for this shitty Canucks team.

In Florida, with the line dropping from -160 to -135 we can expect Lyon between the pipes for the Panthers.

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