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Steelers vs Seahawks Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 31st, 2023

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The Pittsburgh Steelers will face off against the Seattle Seahawks in an exciting matchup on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET. The game will take place at Lumen Field, the home stadium of the Seahawks.

The Steelers will have an extra day of rest this week, which can give them an advantage in terms of preparation and recovery. On the other hand, the Seahawks will be playing on normal rest. The Steelers' additional rest may give them an edge over the Seahawks.

The Steelers will face a disadvantage as they will be playing far from home, having traveled cross-country and across 3 time zones. This longer-than-normal road trip could potentially impact their chances of winning the game.

Both teams have similar records this season, with the Steelers and Seahawks both holding an 8-7 record. However, the recent performance of the teams has been contrasting. The Seahawks have won 4 of their last 5 home games, indicating strong performance on their home turf. In contrast, the Steelers have lost 3 of their last 4 games, suggesting a dip in their form.

In their last respective games, the Steelers emerged victorious against the Cincinnati Bengals with a score of 34-11, while the Seahawks secured a win against the Tennessee Titans with a score of 20-17.

The last time these two teams faced each other was in Week 6 of the 2021 season, resulting in a home win for the Steelers as they defeated the Seahawks 23-20. The game was tightly contested, coming down to a single field goal.

The Seahawks enter this matchup as the favorites at home, with the odds suggesting a 64% chance of them winning compared to the Steelers' 36% chance. The opening spread was Seahawks -3, but it has since moved to Seahawks -4. This represents a relatively small move in the spread.

As the Steelers travel to Seattle, they will aim to overcome the challenges of a long road trip and an energized Seahawks team playing well at home. It promises to be an exciting game with both teams vying for a crucial victory.

Steelers Insights

  • The model projects the Steelers to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

  • Jaylen Warren's play as a receiver has been refined this year, totaling 3.5 adjusted catches vs a measly 1.8 last year.

  • This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing running backs: a paltry 5.9 YAC.

Seahawks Insights

  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • After accumulating 25.0 air yards per game last season, Noah Fant has seen a big downtick this season, now pacing 18.0 per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.15 Units / 11% ROI)

  • Geno Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 66% ROI)

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