Anthony P's NBA Model December 6, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 6, 2022

I properly handicapped the under in Orlando and that was an easy under. I expected Orlando to score less than 100 pts and we were close.

The AI went 1-1 yesterday. It liked the Hornets and they covered. It also had the Heat at -3 and as I mentioned that would have been with Butler's return. When he was announced active, that line flew and closed to -5.5. The Heats lost!

Small slate tonight and the model is not showing any value. However, we can always count on the AI to entertain us.

The Lakers are rolling and the AI is giving them no respect. They won 5 of 6 and in their last 3 games, they won on average with an ATS margin of 13 pts. The AI has the Cavs at -9 while the line opened at -4 and is now at -5.

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