San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins Matchup Preview - August 17th, 2022


The San Diego Padres enter the game as the 5th ranked team per THE BAT X's Power Rankings and will battle the 19th ranked Marlins at LoanDepot Park. The Padres may need to kick their power into gear to maximize their win chances today, as they rank just 23rd in MLB in home runs this year. When the Marlins have found success this year, it's been through their speed. They rank 1st in baseball in stolen bases.

San Diego Padres Insights

  • Mike Clevinger will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters in this matchup.

  • Trent Grisham has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.2-mph average.

  • The San Diego Padres projected lineup ranks as the best on the slate.

Miami Marlins Insights

  • Pablo Lopez’s fastball velocity over his last 3 outings (93.9 mph) has been significantly higher than than his seasonal rate (92.4 mph).

  • Joey Wendle is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of San Diego (#3-best on the slate today).

  • The 12% Barrel% of the Miami Marlins grades them out as the #26 team in Major League Baseball since the start of last season by this standard.

Betting Trends

  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+12.25 Units / 20% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 119 games (+12.30 Units / 9% ROI)

  • Sean Manaea has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.20 Units / 49% ROI)