Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Matchup Preview - September 30th, 2022


The Phillies are scheduled to start Noah Syndergaard (9-10, 4.12 ERA) against Nationals starting pitcher Tommy Romero (1-0, 7.71 ERA) on Friday. In Noah Syndergaard's last outing, the Phillies won 4-3 against the Blue Jays. He pitched 2 innings allowing 0 earned runs with 3 hits. He also recorded 2 strikeouts with 0 walks. The last time Tommy Romero took the mound, the Rays defeated the White Sox 9-3. He finished with 2 IP, 3 K, 0 BB, while allowing 1 earned run on 1 hit. Today, Syndergaard projects for 5.32 innings pitched with 2.2 ER, 5.1 hits, 3.9 strikeouts, and 1.1 walks, according to The Sharp Model. Meanwhile, The Sharp Model projects Romero's average outcome to be 4.76 IP, 2.4 ER, 4.5 H, 3.7 strikeouts, and 1.7 walks.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

  • The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

  • Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Washington Nationals Insights

  • The Sharp Model X expects Tommy Romero to be on a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.

  • Projected catcher Riley Adams projects as a weak pitch framer, according to The Sharp Model projection system.

Betting Trends

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.15 Units / 18% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 away games (+10.55 Units / 23% ROI)

  • Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)