Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Matchup Preview - October 18th, 2022

Editor

Bryce Harper and the Phillies go head-to-head against Jake Cronenworth and the Padres today. Over the last 7 days, Bryce Harper has provided the bulk of the offense for Phillies. He's batted .500 with 4 runs, 5 RBIs, and 2 home runs. Meanwhile, it's been Jake Cronenworth who has been hot for the Padres. Over the last week, he's batting .438 with 3 runs, 5 RBIs, and 1 home runs.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Zack Wheeler has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 59.4% of the time, checking in at the 90th percentile.

  • Rhys Hoskins is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of San Diego (#3-best on the slate).

  • Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

San Diego Padres Insights

  • Yu Darvish's 2414 rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 89th percentile among SPs.

  • Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 40% to 33.1%.

  • The San Diego Padres projected batting order grades out as the worst of all teams today.

Betting Trends

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 44 of their last 79 games at home (+14.15 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 66 away games (+18.13 Units / 24% ROI)

  • Manny Machado has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 56 games (+9.60 Units / 14% ROI)