Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Matchup Preview - October 18th, 2022
Bryce Harper and the Phillies go head-to-head against Jake Cronenworth and the Padres today. Over the last 7 days, Bryce Harper has provided the bulk of the offense for Phillies. He's batted .500 with 4 runs, 5 RBIs, and 2 home runs. Meanwhile, it's been Jake Cronenworth who has been hot for the Padres. Over the last week, he's batting .438 with 3 runs, 5 RBIs, and 1 home runs.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Zack Wheeler has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 59.4% of the time, checking in at the 90th percentile.
Rhys Hoskins is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of San Diego (#3-best on the slate).
Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.
San Diego Padres Insights
Yu Darvish's 2414 rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 89th percentile among SPs.
Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 40% to 33.1%.
The San Diego Padres projected batting order grades out as the worst of all teams today.
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 44 of their last 79 games at home (+14.15 Units / 16% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 66 away games (+18.13 Units / 24% ROI)
Manny Machado has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 56 games (+9.60 Units / 14% ROI)