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Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Matchup Preview - October 28th, 2022


Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • Aaron Nola's fastball spin rate has increased 104 rpm this season (2302 rpm) over where it was last season (2198 rpm).

  • Jean Segura is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Houston (#2-best of the day).

Houston Astros Insights

  • Justin Verlander has been given an above-average leash this year, throwing 5.0 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.

  • Trey Mancini has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

  • Chas McCormick has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and will be challenged by the game's 10th-deepest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 105 of their last 169 games (+28.50 Units / 13% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 56 away games (+21.08 Units / 33% ROI)

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 43 away games (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)


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