Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Matchup Preview - August 3rd, 2022


Alec Bohm and the Phillies go head-to-head against Matt Olson and the Braves today. Over the last 7 days, Alec Bohm has provided the bulk of the offense for Phillies. He's batted .370 with 6 runs, 4 RBIs, and 1 home runs. Meanwhile, it's been Matt Olson who has been hot for the Braves. Over the last week, he's batting .235 with 5 runs, 3 RBIs, and 2 home runs.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Zack Wheeler has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 57.3% of the time, checking in at the 85th percentile.

  • Garrett Stubbs has been lucky this year, putting up a .366 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .277 — a .089 deviation.

  • Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Atlanta Braves Insights

  • The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of the day.

  • Robbie Grossman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

  • Projected catcher William Contreras profiles as a weak pitch framer, per THE BAT projection system.

Betting Trends

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 54 games (+16.30 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 52 away games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+8.20 Units / 38% ROI)