Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup Preview - August 4th, 2022


Milwaukee Brewers Insights

  • Brandon Woodruff's 95.5 mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 93rd percentile among starters.

  • Luis Urias has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have done a bad job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 11.2° angle is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (#28 overall).

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

  • Zach Thompson has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 6.3 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than average.

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure.

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen profiles as the worst in the majors, per THE BAT.

Betting Trends

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)

  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+6.70 Units / 24% ROI)