Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks Matchup Preview - August 5th, 2022


Right-hander German Marquez is expected to start today for Colorado, while left-hander Madison Bumgarner gets the nod at home for Arizona. Marquez enters this contest with a 5.29 ERA, backed up by a 4.70 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Bumgarner, meanwhile, has a 4.61 FIP underlying his 3.83 ERA. The last time German Marquez was on the bump, he suffered the loss as the Rockies lost 3-7 against the Dodgers. He left allowing 4 earned runs and recording 4 strikeouts with 2 walks. Bumgarner's last start was against the Braves, when he recorded the loss as the D-Backs were defeated 2-5. Over 6 innings pitched, he allowed 4 earned runs with 8 hits. He also recorded 0 strikeouts with 3 walks.

Colorado Rockies Insights

  • German Marquez has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 6.5 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

  • The Colorado Rockies projected lineup today (.299 projected wOBA according to THE BAT X) projects quite a bit worse than their .316 wOBA this year.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

  • The Colorado Rockies have 8 batters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Madison Bumgarner in this matchup.

  • Seth Beer has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen profiles as the 6th-worst in MLB, per THE BAT.

Betting Trends

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 49% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Run Line in 35 of their last 57 games (+12.75 Units / 19% ROI)

  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 48 of his last 68 games (+16.70 Units / 15% ROI)