Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Matchup Preview - September 30th, 2022

Editor

Anthony Santander and the Orioles go head-to-head against Oswaldo Cabrera and the Yankees today. Over the last 7 days, Anthony Santander has provided the bulk of the offense for Orioles. He's batted .250 with 7 runs, 9 RBIs, and 6 home runs. Meanwhile, it's been Oswaldo Cabrera who has been hot for the Yankees. Over the last week, he's batting .333 with 5 runs, 2 RBIs, 1 home runs, and 2 stolen bases.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

  • Jordan Lyles has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 7.4 more adjusted pitches-per-game than average.

  • Anthony Santander has been hot lately, hitting 6 home runs over the last 14 days.

New York Yankees Insights

  • Domingo German has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed hitters today.

  • Giancarlo Stanton has been unlucky with his batting average this year; his .208 BA is quite a bit lower than his .254 Expected Batting Average (based on The Sharp Model X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 61 games at home (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 away games (+6.15 Units / 13% ROI)

  • Kyle Bradish has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)