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Anthony P's WNBA Model September 26, 2023

Anthony P
We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-court advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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Reflecting on our previous predictions, I had reservations about the model's inclination towards the over in the Connecticut game, and my skepticism was validated.

The Sun's victory in New York by a 15-point margin was a curveball that took everyone by surprise. While we anticipate a resurgence from New York, the current betting trend leans toward the Sun, capturing 60% of the wagers. The handle stands evenly split. The Suns started at +8 and have now shifted to +9. In Las Vegas, the line remains steady at -10.5. Notably, there's been a significant shift in the total at Circa, moving from 175.5 to a more ambitious 176.5

Let's dive deep into the heart of the WNBA action. We've got two fiery matchups on the horizon: Connecticut Sun vs. New York Liberty and Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces. If you've been sleeping on the WNBA, it's time to wake up and smell the potential winnings.

Starting with the Sun and Liberty, the stakes are high. The Sun, having clinched a win in the first game, are looking to double down and take a 2-0 series lead. But don't count the Liberty out just yet. Despite their recent loss, they've been on a hot streak since late July. The Sun's defense was the star of the show in game one, holding the Liberty to a mere 63 points. Dewanna Bonner, the Sun's ace, dropped 20 points, proving once again why she's a force to be reckoned with. On the flip side, the Liberty, one of the WNBA's offensive powerhouses, had an off day. But with players like Brina Stewart, who netted 19 points in the last game, they're bound to bounce back. Given the recent trends and stats, I'm leaning towards the Connecticut Sun to cover the spread. But remember, in the world of sports betting, anything can happen.

Switching gears to the Wings vs. Aces matchup, the Aces are riding high after their 97-83 victory. The Wings, however, are desperate for a win to even the series. In their previous face-off, the Wings' defense left much to be desired, but their offense, led by Satou Sabally, showed promise. The Aces, on the other hand, are on a mission. Anything less than a title will be a disappointment for them. A'ja Wilson, their top player, is in stellar form, having scored 34 points in the last game. Given the Aces' home advantage and their recent performance, they're the favorites. But with the Wings' potential and the number of points on offer, I'd back the Dallas Wings to cover the spread.

In conclusion, whether you're a seasoned bettor or a newbie, these matchups offer some tantalizing opportunities. The Sun and the Aces might be the favorites, but the Liberty and the Wings are no pushovers.

MODEL Bets: Connecticut +9
Anthony's picks:

Good luck

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