Val's Big Payday Parlay May 12th 2024

Val’s Big Payday Parlay, pays +740

SD Padres +109 & LA Dodgers/SD Padres O8 +101

The Dodgers and Padres play the finale of their three game series this afternoon, each team has won a game so far. The Dodgers send W. Buehler to the mound to face Y. Darvish, Buehler will be making his 2nd start since returning from TJ surgery, he struggled a little in his last start versus the Marlins which is understandable since he hadn't pitched in over a year. I don't think five days later that he win be in peak mid season form either, I expect him to struggle some today as well.  Darvish will already be making his 3rd start of the season versus the Dodgers, he was ok in Korea but was on a pitch count and didn't pitch 4 full innings and was roughed up for 3 runs in 5 innings in LA in mid April in a 6-3 win. Both offenses are pretty solid and will be able to get 4 runs here which would cash the over and Buehler still needs to dust off the cob webs from not pitching competitively for such a long period which is why I like the Padres here at home.  

Chicago Cubs/Pittsburgh Pirates O8.5 even

The Cubs and Pirates play the rubber game of their three game series this afternoon, the first two games have provided plenty of runs with 9 runs scored on Friday and 19 yesterday. Today we have the struggling K. Hendricks versus B. Falter on the mound, Hendricks hasn't been right since opening day and is returning from the IL, he has a 12.00 ERA in 5 starts and almost has allowed his opponent alone to go over the posted total in every game. Falter has been serviceable for the Pirates with a 4.36 ERA but has shown to be prone to blowups in his career. Both offenses are seeing the ball well through the first two games and I don't see either starter today being able to stop that. I like the over for a 3rd game in a row.  

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