Anthony P's NHL Model November 22, 2022

Anthony P
As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible.
Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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The model is the oddsmakers are pretty much aligned for today's small 2 game slate. We did have some sharp interest in the Sabres overnight however that followed with some Habs money. I will cover that in the Overnight Grind shortly. Buffalo is trying to stop an 8 game losing streak while the Habs are coming out of a big OT win against the shitty Flyers who have also lost 8 straight. This might be a good spot to take the Habs on the puck line at +210.

The Rangers only have 3 wins in their last 8 games and haven't won in LA in their last 4 visits. The Kings lost 3 of their last 4 and both teams are now showing no consistency which makes it hard to get a feel for this game. The Kings have played well at home and have dominated the Rangers so I would lean on the Kings tonight.

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