Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles Matchup Preview - October 2nd, 2022
Editor
Sunday the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) will battle the Philadelphia Eagles (3-0). Oddsmakers peg the Eagles as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 71%, leaving the Jaguars with a 29% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Eagles -6.5 with a Game Total of 44.0.
Jacksonville Jaguars Insights
The Sharp Model projects Trevor Lawrence to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (14.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.8% in games he has played).
Jamycal Hasty has accrued a whopping 6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.72 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-least in the NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles Insights
The weatherman calls for rain in this game... which usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the best CB corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Philadelphia Eagles have used play action on 33.8% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Eagles have scored last in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)