Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays Matchup Preview - August 2nd, 2022


The Blue Jays are scheduled to start Kevin Gausman (7-8, 3.30 ERA) against Rays starting pitcher Drew Rasmussen (6-3, 3.17 ERA) on Tuesday. Kevin Gausman suffered a loss in his last outing, as the Blue Jays lost to the Cardinals 1-6. He pitched 4.2 innings allowing 5 earned runs with 8 hits. He also recorded 6 strikeouts with 1 walk. The last time Drew Rasmussen took the mound, the Rays defeated the Orioles 6-4. He finished with 4.2 IP, 4 K, 1 BB, while allowing 2 earned runs on 6 hits. Today, Gausman projects for 6.30 innings pitched with 2.3 ER, 5.1 hits, 8.3 strikeouts, and 1.4 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, THE BAT projects Rasmussen's average outcome to be 5.46 IP, 2.3 ER, 5.2 H, 4.6 strikeouts, and 1.4 walks.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

  • Kevin Gausman has gone to his slider 7.9% more often this season (13.8%) than he did last season (5.9%).

  • Matt Chapman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 102.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 92.9-mph average.

  • The Toronto Blue Jays projected offense projects as the best of the day.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

  • Drew Rasmussen's fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this season (94.8 mph) below where it was last year (95.8 mph).

  • Brandon Lowe is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#2-worst on the slate today).

Betting Trends

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 47 games (+19.20 Units / 37% ROI)

  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 away games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)