Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers Matchup Preview - August 5th, 2022


The Rays are scheduled to start Corey Kluber (7-6, 4.03 ERA) against Tigers starting pitcher Bryan Garcia (0-0, 4.91 ERA) on Friday. Corey Kluber recorded the win in his last outing, as the Rays beat the Guardians 6-4. He pitched 6 innings allowing 4 earned runs with 8 hits. He also recorded 10 strikeouts with 0 walks. The last time Bryan Garcia took the mound, the Tigers defeated the Blue Jays 4-2. He finished with 3.2 IP, 3 K, 2 BB, while allowing 2 earned runs on 3 hits. Today, Kluber projects for 5.48 innings pitched with 2.6 ER, 5.7 hits, 4.8 strikeouts, and 1.4 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, THE BAT projects Garcia's average outcome to be 4.43 IP, 2.9 ER, 4.9 H, 3.1 strikeouts, and 2.1 walks.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

  • Corey Kluber has relied on his cut-fastball 6.6% more often this year (33.9%) than he did last season (27.3%).

  • Christian Bethancourt has been unlucky with his wOBA this year; his .280 figure is quite a bit lower than his .336 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • Isaac Paredes has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Detroit Tigers Insights

  • The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

  • Eric Haase has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

  • The Detroit Tigers (25.2 K%, according to THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy lineup today.

Betting Trends

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+18.15 Units / 17% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 58 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 57% ROI)