San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Matchup Preview - September 21st, 2022

Editor

Wednesday evening the San Francisco Giants battle against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The Giants offense will be led by Thairo Estrada, who ranks as the #58th-best hitter in baseball according to The Sharp Model X. Given Thairo Estrada's profile and today's matchup specifics, The Sharp Model X expects him to average a .372 wOBA, .274 AVG, and .19 HRs. On the other side, C.J. Cron (The Sharp Model X's #139th hitter in MLB) will bolster the Rockies lineup. He projects for a .326 wOBA, .268 AVG, and .12 HRs.

San Francisco Giants Insights

  • Logan Webb is an extreme groundball pitcher (55.7% GB% according to The Sharp Model projections), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #3 HR venue in MLB — today.

Colorado Rockies Insights

  • German Marquez has gone to his sinker 14.5% more often this season (24%) than he did last season (9.5%).

  • Ryan McMahon has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.6-mph figure.

  • Today’s version of the Rockies projected batting order is a bit watered down, as their .289 The Sharp Model X wOBA is considerably below their .302 overall projected rate.

Betting Trends

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 56 away games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)

  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)