San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Matchup Preview - September 21st, 2022


Wednesday evening the San Francisco Giants battle against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The Giants offense will be led by Thairo Estrada, who ranks as the #58th-best hitter in baseball according to The Sharp Model X. Given Thairo Estrada's profile and today's matchup specifics, The Sharp Model X expects him to average a .372 wOBA, .274 AVG, and .19 HRs. On the other side, C.J. Cron (The Sharp Model X's #139th hitter in MLB) will bolster the Rockies lineup. He projects for a .326 wOBA, .268 AVG, and .12 HRs.

San Francisco Giants Insights

  • Logan Webb is an extreme groundball pitcher (55.7% GB% according to The Sharp Model projections), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #3 HR venue in MLB — today.

Colorado Rockies Insights

  • German Marquez has gone to his sinker 14.5% more often this season (24%) than he did last season (9.5%).

  • Ryan McMahon has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.6-mph figure.

  • Today’s version of the Rockies projected batting order is a bit watered down, as their .289 The Sharp Model X wOBA is considerably below their .302 overall projected rate.

Betting Trends

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 56 away games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)

  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)