San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Matchup Preview - October 9th, 2022

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San Diego Padres Insights

  • It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Joe Musgrove has gone to his non-fastballs 5.8% less often this year (69.4%) than he did last season (75.2%).

  • The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

  • The San Diego Padres projected lineup profiles as the best on the slate today.

New York Mets Insights

  • The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst of the day.

  • Eduardo Escobar is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of San Diego (#1-best of all teams today).

  • The New York Mets bullpen profiles as the 5th-best in the majors, via The Sharp Model.

Betting Trends

  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 70 games at home (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 66 of their last 128 games (+9.20 Units / 7% ROI)

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 64 games (+15.85 Units / 20% ROI)