San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Matchup Preview - October 9th, 2022

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San Diego Padres Insights
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Joe Musgrove has gone to his non-fastballs 5.8% less often this year (69.4%) than he did last season (75.2%).
The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
The San Diego Padres projected lineup profiles as the best on the slate today.
New York Mets Insights
The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst of the day.
Eduardo Escobar is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of San Diego (#1-best of all teams today).
The New York Mets bullpen profiles as the 5th-best in the majors, via The Sharp Model.
Betting Trends
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 70 games at home (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 66 of their last 128 games (+9.20 Units / 7% ROI)
Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 64 games (+15.85 Units / 20% ROI)
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