Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees Matchup Preview - September 20th, 2022

Editor

Luis Ortiz (146th ranked SP via THE BAT) is projected to take the mound for Pirates as they battle the Yankees and Nestor Cortes (29th ranked SP) at Yankee Stadium. The quick scouting report on Cortes: Cortes primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (43.6%) and his most-used secondary offering is his cut-fastball (31.0%). THE BAT X projects Ortiz for 2.5 earned runs and 3.9 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Cortes is forecasted for 1.7 earned runs and 6.2 strikeouts.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

  • Luis Ortiz will have the handedness advantage over 7 opposing bats today.

  • Zack Collins is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of New York (#3-best of all teams today).

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

New York Yankees Insights

  • Nestor Cortes’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2361 rpm) has been quite a bit better than than his seasonal rate (2268 rpm).

  • Josh Donaldson has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.3% seasonal rate to 40% in the past 14 days.

  • Projected catcher Jose Trevino profiles as an elite pitch framer, via THE BAT projection system.

Betting Trends

  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.90 Units / 21% ROI)

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)