Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Matchup Preview - October 11th, 2022
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Ranger Suarez has relied on his off-speed and breaking pitches 11% more often this year (42%) than he did last year (31%).
J.T. Realmuto has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 94.8-mph figure.
Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto projects as an elite pitch framer, via The Sharp Model projection system.
Atlanta Braves Insights
Max Fried's 2136 rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 16th percentile among SPs.
Robbie Grossman is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).
The Atlanta Braves bullpen projects as the 2nd-best in MLB, according to The Sharp Model.
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 92 of their last 150 games (+23.47 Units / 12% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 99 games (+17.78 Units / 16% ROI)
Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 33 games at home (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)