Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup Preview - August 3rd, 2022
Right-hander Freddy Peralta is expected to start today for Milwaukee, while right-hander Tyler Beede gets the nod at home for Pittsburgh. Peralta enters this contest with a 4.42 ERA, backed up by a 2.11 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Beede, meanwhile, has a 4.31 FIP underlying his 3.12 ERA. The last time Freddy Peralta was on the bump, he suffered the loss as the Brewers lost 2-8 against the Nationals. He left allowing 5 earned runs and recording 2 strikeouts with 1 walk.
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
THE BAT X expects Freddy Peralta to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 70 pitches.
Victor Caratini is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#2-best on the slate).
Projected catcher Omar Narvaez profiles as an elite pitch framer, via THE BAT projection system.
Pittsburgh Pirates Insights
Tyler Beede has been lucky this year, putting up a 3.12 ERA despite THE BAT estimating his true talent level to be 5.29 — a 2.17 difference.
Greg Allen has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
The Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen projects as the worst in the game, per THE BAT.
Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.15 Units / 35% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 72 games (+11.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games at home (+13.60 Units / 27% ROI)