Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Matchup Preview - August 5th, 2022

author-avatar
Editor

Today's contest between the Mariners and the Angels pits THE BAT's 62nd ranked SP (Patrick Sandoval) against the 67th ranked SP (Robbie Ray). The rundown on Sandoval tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 24.2% of the time and keeps hitters off balance with a slider (25.7%). Ray is a four-seam guy (42.0%) who brings a slider as his most-trusted secondary offering. Advanced stats (namely, FIP) tell us that Sandoval deserves something like a 3.01 ERA, compared to his actual ERA of 3.61. On that front, Ray's ERA sits at 4.11 and his FIP at 4.23.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

  • Patrick Sandoval's 2040 rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 14th percentile among starters.

  • The Los Angeles Angels bullpen projects as the 3rd-worst in the game, per THE BAT.

Seattle Mariners Insights

  • Robbie Ray has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 4.7 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

  • Jesse Winker has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

  • Carlos Santana has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+16.30 Units / 29% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)