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Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Gaurdians Matchup Preview - September 30th, 2022


The Royals are scheduled to start Brady Singer (10-4, 2.99 ERA) against Guardians starting pitcher Aaron Civale (3-6, 5.19 ERA) on Friday. Brady Singer recorded the win in his last outing, as the Royals beat the Mariners 5-1. He pitched 7 innings allowing 1 earned run with 5 hits. He also recorded 8 strikeouts with 2 walks. The last time Aaron Civale took the mound, he recorded a win as the Guardians defeated the Rangers 10-4. He finished with 5 IP, 7 K, 0 BB, while allowing 2 earned runs on 3 hits. Today, Singer projects for 6.08 innings pitched with 2.6 ER, 6.1 hits, 4.5 strikeouts, and 1.7 walks, according to The Sharp Model. Meanwhile, The Sharp Model projects Civale's average outcome to be 5.75 IP, 2.4 ER, 5.2 H, 5.5 strikeouts, and 1.3 walks.

Kansas City Royals Insights

  • It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Brady Singer has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 54.4% of the time, checking in at the 77th percentile.

  • Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Cleveland Gaurdians Insights

  • The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 5th-best on the slate.

  • Tyler Freeman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

  • Projected catcher Luke Maile projects as a good pitch framer, according to The Sharp Model projection system.

Betting Trends

  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 away games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)

  • Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 games at home (+9.00 Units / 20% ROI)


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