Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers Matchup Preview - August 3rd, 2022


The Baltimore Orioles enter the game as the 27th ranked team per THE BAT X's Power Rankings and will battle the 18th ranked Rangers at Globe Life Field. The Orioles may need to kick their hitting into gear to maximize their win chances today, as they rank just 24th in MLB in batting average this year. When the Rangers have found success this year, it's been through their speed. They rank 2nd in baseball in stolen bases.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

  • Kyle Bradish has averaged 14 outs per outing this year, ranking in the 21st percentile.

  • Ryan Mountcastle has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89-mph average to last season's 91.6-mph EV.

  • Baltimore's 91.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #24 club in the league since the start of last season by this standard.

Texas Rangers Insights

  • Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Martin Perez has relied on his off-speed and breaking pitches 6.1% less often this season (56.8%) than he did last year (62.9%).

  • Jonah Heim has been lucky with his batting average this year; his .259 mark is quite a bit higher than his .207 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • Josh Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and faces MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 55 of their last 91 games (+17.50 Units / 15% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 54 of their last 79 games (+23.85 Units / 22% ROI)

  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)